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Seasonal Start
Arch Coal, Inc. (NYSE:ACI) Seasonal Chart
Arch Coal, Inc. Common Stock (ACI) Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of October 7 and a sell date of June 1, investors have benefited from a total return of 2437.72% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 8 of those periods.
Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of January 29 and a sell date of May 20, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 1360.82% with positive results in 10 of those periods.
The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 348.58%.
Average Daily Return over past 10 years
| 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | |
| Average | 0.16% | -0.13% | 0.13% | -0.04% | 0.24% | 0.06% | 0.13% | 0.02% | 0.18% | 0.14% |
| Up Days | 129 | 121 | 133 | 124 | 148 | 135 | 126 | 124 | 122 | 104 |
| Down Days | 120 | 132 | 117 | 127 | 104 | 114 | 121 | 123 | 121 | 112 |
Monthly Averages over past 20 years:
| Jan. | Feb. | Mar. | Apr. | May | June | July | Aug. | Sep. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |
| -6.87% | 5.67% | 3.22% | 2.07% | 9.3% | 0.12% | -5.72% | 1.08% | 0.8% | 3.1% | -0.36% | 5.79% |
According to Thackray’s 2010 Investors Guide, the period of seasonal strength for the Energy Sector ranges from February 25th through to May 9th. Seasonal influences are related to the transition period experienced by U.S. refiners when they convert their facilities to gasoline production for the summer driving season from heating oil production for the winter heating season. Inventory levels typically fall below average during this period.
| Average Return | Positive Periods | % of Sessions Gaining Within Periods |
| 33.79% | 1 Out of Last 1 Period | 52.94% |
| 22.57% | 3 Out of Last 3 Periods | 54.5% |
| 24.09% | 5 Out of Last 5 Periods | 54.87% |
| 16.75% | 9 Out of Last 10 Periods | 50.09% |
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