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AutoZone, Inc. (NYSE:AZO) Seasonal Chart

AutoZone, Inc.  (NYSE:AZO) Seasonal Chart

AUTOZONE INC (AZO) Seasonality

Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of August 11 and a sell date of June 19, investors have benefited from a total return of 804.18% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 9 of those periods.

Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of August 11 and a sell date of April 5, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 436.78% with positive results in 10 of those periods.

The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 389.23%.

 

Average Daily Return over past 10 years

  2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
Average 0.05% 0.07% 0.03% 0.06% 0.01% 0.03% 0.07% 0.01% 0.27% -0.01%
Up Days 124 126 132 125 134 127 144 120 133 124
Down Days 126 126 119 125 116 124 109 131 114 113

 

Monthly Averages over past 18 years:

Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.
-4.11% 3.35% 3.24% 0.97% 2.79% -3.08% 2.48% -1.22% 1.91% 3.44% 3.91% 4.54%

 

 

According to Thackray’s 2010 Investors Guide, the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Discretionary Sector ranges from October 28th through to April 22nd. Corresponding to the seasonality of the broad market, this sector finds strength from consumers buying/upgrading large ticket items (cars, homes, etc.) during late winter & early spring, and of course let’s not forget the holiday buying season. This sector peaks just before equity markets top out in May.

Average Return Positive Periods % of Sessions Gaining Within Periods
-16.6% 0 Out of Last 1 Period 44.62%
-12.84% 0 Out of Last 3 Periods 47.31%
-5.51% 1 Out of Last 5 Periods 48.92%
9.67% 5 Out of Last 10 Periods 50.08%

 

[feedsnap, 5]http://www.equityclock.com/feed/?tag=AZO[/feedsnap]

 

Stocks mentioned in this post:

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