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Seasonal Start
Biovail Corporation (TSE:BVF) Seasonal Chart
BIOVAIL CORP COM NPV (BVF.TO) Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of August 2 and a sell date of February 16, investors have benefited from a total return of 503.06% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 8 of those periods.
Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of November 24 and a sell date of February 28, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 451.66% with positive results in 9 of those periods.
The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was -40.01%.
Average Daily Return over past 10 years
| 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | |
| Average | 0.1% | 0.03% | -0.12% | 0% | 0.11% | -0.07% | -0.07% | -0.17% | 0.16% | 0.2% |
| Up Days | 122 | 128 | 114 | 131 | 127 | 108 | 120 | 114 | 132 | 132 |
| Down Days | 128 | 116 | 136 | 118 | 112 | 143 | 132 | 136 | 113 | 117 |
Monthly Averages over past 13 years:
| Jan. | Feb. | Mar. | Apr. | May | June | July | Aug. | Sep. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |
| 3.3% | 5.04% | -5.78% | -0.08% | 2.11% | 3.27% | -4.62% | 1.77% | 1.87% | 2.38% | 0.53% | 8.1% |
According to Thackray’s 2010 Investors Guide, the period of seasonal strength for the Health Care Sector ranges from August 15th through to October 18th. Seasonality corresponds to health care conferences that occur in the last quarter of the calendar year in which new drug discoveries and research updates are frequently announced. In addition, the FDA has a tendency to approve a greater number of new drugs and medical instruments during this time.
| Average Return | Positive Periods | % of Sessions Gaining Within Periods |
| 0.4% | 1 Out of Last 1 Period | 46.51% |
| -1.81% | 2 Out of Last 3 Periods | 46.19% |
| 4.11% | 4 Out of Last 5 Periods | 48.17% |
| 4.04% | 8 Out of Last 10 Periods | 50.35% |
[feedsnap, 5]http://www.equityclock.com/feed/?tag=BVF.TO[/feedsnap]
Stocks mentioned in this post: BVF.TO
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