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FedEx Corporation (NYSE:FDX) Seasonal Chart

FedEx Corporation  (NYSE:FDX) Seasonal Chart

FEDEX CORP (FDX) Seasonality

Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of March 15 and a sell date of December 7, investors have benefited from a total return of 486.51% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 7 of those periods.

Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of October 8 and a sell date of December 7, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 137.8% with positive results in 9 of those periods.

The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 110.72%.

 

Average Daily Return over past 10 years

  2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
Average 0.11% -0.06% -0.05% 0.02% 0.02% 0.11% 0.07% 0.03% 0.08% 0.02%
Up Days 132 117 116 121 128 134 126 125 125 107
Down Days 120 135 136 129 125 116 125 126 122 135

 

Monthly Averages over past 20 years:

Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.
2.86% 0.92% 1.51% 1.71% -1.41% 0.83% 0.79% -0.81% 0.46% 4.09% 2.62% 2.15%

 

 

According to Thackray’s 2010 Investors Guide, the seasonality for the Industrials Sector is limited to Market Perform, implying that a period of strength that would garner results greater than the correlating benchmark is non-existent. The sector is a virtual barometer of real GDP growth in the U.S. The sector moves higher when expectations for economic growth are positive and moves lower when expectations are negative.

Average Return Positive Periods % of Sessions Gaining Within Periods
4.99% 1 Out of Last 1 Period 52.71%
-2.26% 1 Out of Last 3 Periods 48.58%
4.29% 2 Out of Last 5 Periods 49.7%
5.51% 5 Out of Last 10 Periods 48.7%

 

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