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Seasonal Start
Harman International Industries Inc. (NYSE:HAR) Seasonal Chart
HARMAN INTL INDS (HAR) Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of March 9 and a sell date of November 4, investors have benefited from a total return of 1184.89% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 7 of those periods.
Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of March 30 and a sell date of June 7, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 238.35% with positive results in 9 of those periods.
The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 155.1%.
Average Daily Return over past 10 years
| 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | |
| Average | 0.27% | -0.31% | -0.07% | 0.02% | -0.05% | 0.16% | 0.27% | 0.1% | 0.09% | 0.11% |
| Up Days | 132 | 111 | 118 | 116 | 116 | 139 | 143 | 121 | 118 | 114 |
| Down Days | 118 | 142 | 131 | 135 | 135 | 110 | 109 | 131 | 131 | 124 |
Monthly Averages over past 20 years:
| Jan. | Feb. | Mar. | Apr. | May | June | July | Aug. | Sep. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |
| -3.29% | 2.05% | -3.34% | 6.71% | 1.75% | 2.14% | 0.19% | 5.64% | 0.5% | 2.95% | 1.81% | 3.2% |
According to Thackray’s 2010 Investors Guide, the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Discretionary Sector ranges from October 28th through to April 22nd. Corresponding to the seasonality of the broad market, this sector finds strength from consumers buying/upgrading large ticket items (cars, homes, etc.) during late winter & early spring, and of course let’s not forget the holiday buying season. This sector peaks just before equity markets top out in May.
| Average Return | Positive Periods | % of Sessions Gaining Within Periods |
| 92.04% | 1 Out of Last 1 Period | 54.62% |
| 5.57% | 1 Out of Last 3 Periods | 47.57% |
| 8.53% | 3 Out of Last 5 Periods | 47.71% |
| 22.95% | 8 Out of Last 10 Periods | 50.09% |
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Stocks mentioned in this post: HAR
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