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Seasonal Start
Novell, Inc. (NASDAQ:NOVL) Seasonal Chart
Novell, Inc. (NOVL) Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of August 8 and a sell date of February 1, investors have benefited from a total return of 1007.89% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 7 of those periods.
Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of August 12 and a sell date of August 27, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 228.17% with positive results in 9 of those periods.
The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was -89.61%.
Average Daily Return over past 10 years
| 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | |
| Average | 0.04% | -0.11% | 0.04% | -0.08% | 0.08% | -0.08% | 0.33% | 0% | 0.04% | -0.43% |
| Up Days | 112 | 111 | 123 | 106 | 117 | 114 | 139 | 113 | 119 | 106 |
| Down Days | 129 | 137 | 125 | 137 | 118 | 133 | 105 | 132 | 123 | 136 |
Monthly Averages over past 20 years:
| Jan. | Feb. | Mar. | Apr. | May | June | July | Aug. | Sep. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |
| 7.49% | -2.93% | 0.28% | -3.51% | 0.12% | 0.63% | -5.73% | 5.7% | -1.22% | 4.78% | 6.98% | 3.05% |
According to Thackray’s 2010 Investors Guide, the period of seasonal strength for the Technology Sector ranges from October 9th through to January 17th. The seasonality ends around the time of the Consumer Electronics Show at the beginning of January and before earnings are finished being reported for the previous quarter in which holiday sales contributes significantly to the bottom line.
| Average Return | Positive Periods | % of Sessions Gaining Within Periods |
| 5.82% | 1 Out of Last 1 Period | 55.22% |
| -11.15% | 1 Out of Last 3 Periods | 46.15% |
| -0.53% | 3 Out of Last 5 Periods | 44.58% |
| 21.16% | 6 Out of Last 10 Periods | 49.03% |
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Stocks mentioned in this post: NOVL
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