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Sears Canada Inc. (TSE:SCC) Seasonal Chart

Sears Canada Inc.  (TSE:SCC) Seasonal Chart

SEARS CANADA INC COM NPV (SCC.TO) Seasonality

Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of December 24 and a sell date of July 7, investors have benefited from a total return of 177.37% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 7 of those periods.

Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of March 15 and a sell date of July 7, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 112.16% with positive results in 9 of those periods.

The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was -37.21%.

 

Average Daily Return over past 10 years

  2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
Average 0.1% -0.08% 0.01% 0.12% 0.09% 0.03% 0% 0% 0% -0.15%
Up Days 124 106 114 118 124 113 126 123 119 98
Down Days 121 138 128 112 122 131 121 114 118 128

 

Monthly Averages over past 14 years:

Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.
3.88% 2.55% 2.26% 6.11% 2.42% 1.74% -0.21% 0.49% -2.33% 2.74% 2.68% -4.48%

 

 

According to Thackray’s 2010 Investors Guide, the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Discretionary Sector ranges from October 28th through to April 22nd. Corresponding to the seasonality of the broad market, this sector finds strength from consumers buying/upgrading large ticket items (cars, homes, etc.) during late winter & early spring, and of course let’s not forget the holiday buying season. This sector peaks just before equity markets top out in May.

Average Return Positive Periods % of Sessions Gaining Within Periods
11.65% 1 Out of Last 1 Period 48.44%
-6.64% 2 Out of Last 3 Periods 43.12%
9% 4 Out of Last 5 Periods 43.94%
-1.54% 5 Out of Last 10 Periods 44.66%

 

[feedsnap, 5]http://www.equityclock.com/feed/?tag=SCC.TO[/feedsnap]

 

Stocks mentioned in this post:

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