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The New York Times Company (NYSE:NYT) Seasonal Chart

The New York Times Company  (NYSE:NYT) Seasonal Chart

N Y TIMES CL A (NYT) Seasonality

Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of November 22 and a sell date of December 31, investors have benefited from a total return of 113.21% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 6 of those periods.

Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of December 25 and a sell date of December 31, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 34.25% with positive results in 9 of those periods.

The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was -69.12%.

 

Average Daily Return over past 10 years

  2009 2008 2007 2006 2005 2004 2003 2002 2001 2000
Average 0.22% -0.16% -0.07% -0.01% -0.11% -0.04% 0.02% 0.03% 0.04% -0.04%
Up Days 133 114 108 110 95 118 130 127 131 115
Down Days 114 137 140 137 153 132 121 121 116 126

 

Monthly Averages over past 20 years:

Jan. Feb. Mar. Apr. May June July Aug. Sep. Oct. Nov. Dec.
0.11% -0.17% 1.17% 1.46% 2.72% -1.14% -2.05% -0.96% 0.09% -0.51% 1.78% 6.54%

 

 

According to Thackray’s 2010 Investors Guide, the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Discretionary Sector ranges from October 28th through to April 22nd. Corresponding to the seasonality of the broad market, this sector finds strength from consumers buying/upgrading large ticket items (cars, homes, etc.) during late winter & early spring, and of course let’s not forget the holiday buying season. This sector peaks just before equity markets top out in May.

Average Return Positive Periods % of Sessions Gaining Within Periods
89.28% 1 Out of Last 1 Period 52.31%
8.42% 1 Out of Last 3 Periods 45.53%
1.5% 1 Out of Last 5 Periods 43.28%
-1.13% 4 Out of Last 10 Periods 44.93%

 

[feedsnap, 5]http://www.equityclock.com/feed/?tag=NYT[/feedsnap]

 

Stocks mentioned in this post:

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