Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

CNHI Relative to the S&P 500

CNHI Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the CNH Industrial NV (NYSE:CNHI) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of October 1 and a Sell Date of December 23 has resulted in a geometric average return of 9.67% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 9 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 7 of those periods. This is a good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 9 years by an average of 12.26% per year.

The seasonal timeframe is Inline with the period of seasonal strength for the Industrials sector, which runs from October 29 to May 10. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Industrials Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 9 years of data is available for shares of CNHI, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

CNH Industrial is a global manufacturer of heavy machinery, with a range of products including agricultural and construction equipment. One of its most recognizable brands, Case IH, has served farmers for generations. Its products are available through a robust dealer network, which includes over 3,600 dealer and distribution locations globally. CNH’s finance arm provides retail financing for equipment to its customers, in addition to wholesale financing for dealers; which increases the likelihood of product sales.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: CNHI