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ECA Marcellus Trust I (NYSE:ECT) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the ECA Marcellus Trust I (NYSE:ECT) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of December 16 and a Sell Date of March 7 has resulted in a geometric average return of 3.85% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 9 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 7 of those periods. This is a good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 9 years by an average of 36.09% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Energy sector, which runs from January 21 to May 9. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Energy Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 9 years of data is available for shares of ECT, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

ECA Marcellus Trust I is a statutory trust which owns royalty interests in the natural gas properties. The underlying properties of the company include working interest owned by Energy Corporation of America and the Private Investors in the Marcellus Shale formation in Greene County, Pennsylvania arising under leases and farm out agreements related to properties.

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