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Francesca’s Holdings Corp. (NASD:FRAN) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Francesca’s Holdings Corp. (NASD:FRAN) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of August 2 and a Sell Date of October 24 has resulted in a geometric average return of 6.99% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 8 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 4 of those periods. This is a poor rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 8 years by an average of 46.72% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Discretionary sector, which runs from October 17 to April 12. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Discretionary Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 8 years of data is available for shares of FRAN, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Francescas Holdings Corp through its subsidiaries operates a chain of retail boutiques. It offers fashion apparel, jewelry, accessories, and gifts primarily for women. Its apparel products comprise dresses, fashion tops, sweaters, cardigans and wraps, bottoms, outerwear and jackets, tees and tanks, and intimates; and jewelry includes necklaces, earrings, bracelets, and rings. The company’s accessories consist of handbags, clutches, wallets, shoes, belts, hats, scarves, sunglasses, watches, and hair accessories; and gifts include fragrances, candles, bath and body products, home accessories, books, wall art, nail polish, and miscellaneous items.

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