Stocks: Sectors
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Futures
Forex
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Seasonal Start
TransAlta Corporation (TSE:TA) Seasonal Chart
TRANSALTA CORP MTN COM NPV (TA.TO) Seasonality
Analysis has revealed that with a buy date of March 30 and a sell date of December 31, investors have benefited from a total return of 250.27% over the last 10 years. This scenario has shown positive results in 7 of those periods.
Conversely, the best return over the maximum number of positive periods reveals a buy date of April 26 and a sell date of May 29, producing a total return over the same 10-year range of 84.65% with positive results in 10 of those periods.
The buy and hold return for the past 10 years was 123.63%.
Average Daily Return over past 10 years
| 2009 | 2008 | 2007 | 2006 | 2005 | 2004 | 2003 | 2002 | 2001 | 2000 | |
| Average | 0.02% | -0.05% | 0.07% | 0.03% | 0.11% | 0.01% | 0.03% | -0.06% | 0.01% | 0.14% |
| Up Days | 128 | 119 | 119 | 125 | 138 | 125 | 121 | 120 | 125 | 123 |
| Down Days | 118 | 127 | 126 | 121 | 110 | 112 | 112 | 125 | 115 | 107 |
Monthly Averages over past 14 years:
| Jan. | Feb. | Mar. | Apr. | May | June | July | Aug. | Sep. | Oct. | Nov. | Dec. |
| -2.21% | 0.84% | -2.02% | 3.49% | 3.28% | 0.05% | -0.19% | 1.06% | 0.35% | 1.5% | -0.34% | 2.88% |
According to Thackray’s 2010 Investors Guide, the period of seasonal strength for the Utilities Sector ranges from July 17th through to October 3rd. Strength in this sector is related to the sweet spot in the U.S. Treasury Market.
| Average Return | Positive Periods | % of Sessions Gaining Within Periods |
| 1.93% | 1 Out of Last 1 Period | 49.06% |
| -1.74% | 2 Out of Last 3 Periods | 48.45% |
| 2.46% | 4 Out of Last 5 Periods | 50.92% |
| 2.1% | 7 Out of Last 10 Periods | 50.17% |
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Stocks mentioned in this post: TA.TO
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