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Equity Clock

Equity Clock - Market Outlook for September 2, 2022

The concerning economic data-points continue to stack up, this time with US Construction Spending showing a very rare July decline.

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.   As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF (NYSE:IAT) Seasonal Chart

iShares U.S. Regional Banks ETF (NYSE:IAT) Seasonal Chart

Cambria Value and Momentum ETF (AMEX:VAMO) Seasonal Chart

Cambria Value and Momentum ETF (AMEX:VAMO) Seasonal Chart

Invesco S&P 500 Enhanced Value ETF (AMEX:SPVU) Seasonal Chart

Invesco S&P 500 Enhanced Value ETF (AMEX:SPVU) Seasonal Chart

Pacer Global Cash Cows Dividend ETF (AMEX:GCOW) Seasonal Chart

Pacer Global Cash Cows Dividend ETF (AMEX:GCOW) Seasonal Chart

Vanguard Global Value Factor ETF (TSE:VVL.TO) Seasonal Chart

Vanguard Global Value Factor ETF (TSE:VVL.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO Covered Call Dow Jones Industrial Average Hedged to CAD ETF (TSE:ZWA.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO Covered Call Dow Jones Industrial Average Hedged to CAD ETF (TSE:ZWA.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO US Dividend Hedged to CAD ETF (TSE:ZUD.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO US Dividend Hedged to CAD ETF (TSE:ZUD.TO) Seasonal Chart

Invesco S&P SmallCap Financials ETF (NASD:PSCF) Seasonal Chart

Invesco S&P SmallCap Financials ETF (NASD:PSCF) Seasonal Chart

Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM) Seasonal Chart

Exxon Mobil Corp. (NYSE:XOM) Seasonal Chart

BMO US High Dividend Covered Call ETF (TSE:ZWH.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO US High Dividend Covered Call ETF (TSE:ZWH.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO US Dividend ETF (TSE:ZDY.TO) Seasonal Chart

BMO US Dividend ETF (TSE:ZDY.TO) Seasonal Chart

Vanguard U.S. Dividend Appreciation Index ETF (CAD-hedged) (TSE:VGH.TO) Seasonal Chart

Vanguard U.S. Dividend Appreciation Index ETF (CAD-hedged) (TSE:VGH.TO) Seasonal Chart

PacWest Bancorp (NASD:PACW) Seasonal Chart

PacWest Bancorp (NASD:PACW) Seasonal Chart

Telefonica SA (NYSE:TEF) Seasonal Chart

Telefonica SA (NYSE:TEF) Seasonal Chart

 

Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio


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The Markets

Stocks shook off concerns pertaining to higher rates and a stronger US Dollar on Thursday to close mildly higher.  The S&P 500 Index closed with a gain of three-tenths of one percent, reversing a decline of over one percent at the lows of the session that saw the benchmark intersect with the psychologically important 3900 level.  The benchmark remains below major moving averages and the fact that it has failed to close at or near the 20 or 50-day moving averages given the uncertainty pertaining to Friday’s payroll report is telling of the negative sentiment that has materialized in recent weeks.  Typically, ahead of an uncertain/pivotal event, stocks will tend to pin themselves towards a major moving average.  Momentum indicators are still pointing lower after rolling over from overbought territory just a few weeks ago and the MACD histogram continues to expand negatively, suggesting that we not yet near a new buy signal.  We remain on the lookout for higher-lows with respect to RSI and MACD, along with price, above the June low, something that would provide a powerful signal that an intermediate bottom to the market is in, one that would be conducive to fuel a sustained multi-month rally.  We are anxious to put our cash hoard back to work after pulling a large chunk of equity exposure upon the rejection of the S&P 500 Index from the 200-day moving average, some 250 points or so ago.

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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

  • No significant earnings scheduled for today

 

S&P 500 Index

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TSE Composite

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