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Equity Clock - Market Outlook for January 31, 2023
If a risk-aversion move is to materialize, this is a logical point for it to happen as the ratio of the Staples (XLP) over Discretionary (XLY) ETF tests long-term rising trendline support.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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The Markets
Stocks dipped on Monday as investors took down some risk ahead of the FOMC meeting on Tuesday/Wednesday. The S&P 500 Index ended the session with a loss of 1.30%, peeling back towards declining trendline resistance that was broken in the past week. Horizontal resistance at the December high of 4100 remains intact, keeping the trajectory of lower-highs from the past year intact. Momentum indicators are showing early signs of rolling over below declining trendline resistance in what has become a narrowing range over a number of months, defining a rather neutral momentum backdrop. The 50-day moving average seems poised to cross above its declining 200-day moving average in what is referred to as a golden cross, but, as has been pointed out in recent reports, the timeliness of this technical event as an immediate buy or sell indicator is typically quite poor, implying that buying the near-term crossover may be inopportune. Seasonally, stocks remain in a soft period into the start of March.
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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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