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Equity Clock

Equity Clock - Market Outlook for May 4, 2023

Despite a demand backdrop that remains upbeat and supply that is stable, the price of oil has broken down, diverging from the trend of seasonal norms heading through the spring.

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.   As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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TransDigm Group Inc. (NYSE:TDG) Seasonal Chart

TransDigm Group Inc. (NYSE:TDG) Seasonal Chart

Copart, Inc. (NASD:CPRT) Seasonal Chart

Copart, Inc. (NASD:CPRT) Seasonal Chart

MSCI, Inc. (NYSE:MSCI) Seasonal Chart

MSCI, Inc. (NYSE:MSCI) Seasonal Chart

Royal Gold, Inc. (NASD:RGLD) Seasonal Chart

Royal Gold, Inc. (NASD:RGLD) Seasonal Chart

Repligen Corp. (NASD:RGEN) Seasonal Chart

Repligen Corp. (NASD:RGEN) Seasonal Chart

 

Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio


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The Markets

Stocks closed lower on Wednesday as investors digested comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell following the two-day FOMC meeting.  The S&P 500 Index ended down by seven-tenths of one percent, continuing to show rejection from the range of resistance between 4100 and 4200 that has capped upside momentum for the better part of the past year.  Momentum indicators continue to roll over with MACD remaining on a sell signal that was triggered last week.  While support continues to be implied around the congestion of major moving averages between 3950 and 4050, the market and the economy are providing a more compelling argument to place a heavier weight on overhead resistance than the potential level of support below.  A break below the December low is still view as required to confirm a negative intermediate-term path, one that would see a return of that sustained negative trajectory that was observed through the first three-quarters of last year.  The rotation away from core-cyclical segments of the market and the adoption of safe-havens (gold and treasury bonds) already expresses a risk-averse market, one that has greater downside risks than upside potential, at least for now.



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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

Apple Inc. Seasonal Chart Royal Dutch Shell PLC Seasonal Chart Anheuser-Busch Inbev SA Seasonal Chart ConocoPhillips Seasonal Chart Booking Holdings Inc. Seasonal Chart Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Seasonal Chart Zoetis Inc. Seasonal Chart Becton, Dickinson and Company Seasonal Chart EOG Resources, Inc. Seasonal Chart Monster Beverage Corporation Seasonal Chart Intercontinental Exchange Inc. Seasonal Chart Shopify Inc. Seasonal Chart Moderna, Inc. Seasonal Chart Ferrari N.V. Seasonal Chart Motorola Solutions, Inc. Seasonal Chart Fortinet, Inc. Seasonal Chart Sempra Seasonal Chart American Electric Power Company, Inc. Seasonal Chart American International Group, Inc. Seasonal Chart BCE, Inc. Seasonal Chart Microchip Technology Incorporated Seasonal Chart Parker-Hannifin Corporation Seasonal Chart Atlassian Corporation Seasonal Chart Block, Inc. Seasonal Chart Pacific Gas & Electric Co. Seasonal Chart Consolidated Edison Inc Seasonal Chart Mettler-Toledo International, Inc. Seasonal Chart TELUS Corporation Seasonal Chart Aptiv PLC Seasonal Chart Alnylam Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Seasonal Chart Quanta Services, Inc. Seasonal Chart Kellogg Company Seasonal Chart Vulcan Materials Company Seasonal Chart Ameren Corporation Seasonal Chart Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. Seasonal Chart Martin Marietta Materials, Inc. Seasonal Chart ArcelorMittal Seasonal Chart Monolithic Power Systems, Inc. Seasonal Chart Insulet Corporation Seasonal Chart argenx SE Seasonal Chart Cardinal Health, Inc. Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

 

TSE Composite