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Equity Clock

Equity Clock - Market Outlook for October 3, 2023

Low volatility ETFs certainly not providing the refuge to mitigate the normal volatility at this time of year.

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.   As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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Invesco Dynamic Energy Exploration & Production ETF (NYSE:PXE) Seasonal Chart

Invesco Dynamic Energy Exploration & Production ETF (NYSE:PXE) Seasonal Chart

ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (NYSE:USD) Seasonal Chart

ProShares Ultra Semiconductors (NYSE:USD) Seasonal Chart

ITT Inc. (NYSE:ITT) Seasonal Chart

ITT Inc. (NYSE:ITT) Seasonal Chart

Cameco Corp. (NYSE:CCJ) Seasonal Chart

Cameco Corp. (NYSE:CCJ) Seasonal Chart

Ceva Inc. (NASD:CEVA) Seasonal Chart

Ceva Inc. (NASD:CEVA) Seasonal Chart

EMCOR Group, Inc. (NYSE:EME) Seasonal Chart

EMCOR Group, Inc. (NYSE:EME) Seasonal Chart

State Street Corp. (NYSE:STT) Seasonal Chart

State Street Corp. (NYSE:STT) Seasonal Chart

 

Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio


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The Markets

Stocks closed mixed on Monday as the market continues to battle the headwinds of rising rates and a strengthening US Dollar.  The S&P 500 Index closed essentially unchanged, continuing to hold the short-term low that was charted last week just above significant horizontal support at 4200.  Near-term downside momentum continues to wane as the MACD histogram narrows back towards zero.  Even with all of the headwinds against it, this market is doing a valiant job of maintaining the limits of what can be considered to be a healthy correction through August and September and rising trendline support stemming from last October’s low has yet to be violated.  A head-and-shoulders topping pattern remains a threat overhead with levels of resistance still implied around the declining 20 and 50-day moving averages at 4397 and 4447, respectively.  Between here and the level of resistance overhead, the near-term risk-reward appears favourable while monitoring how the market reacts to the significant band of support between 4100 and 4200.  Any alleviation of the rate and dollar headwinds in the weeks ahead would be welcomed.



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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

McCormick & Company, Incorporated Seasonal Chart Cal-Maine Foods, Inc. Seasonal Chart Novagold Resources Inc. Seasonal Chart Trinity Biotech plc Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

 

TSE Composite