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Equity Clock - Market Outlook for February 6, 2024
The optimal holding period for the Bitcoin ETF starts today, but increasing negativity around the periphery of the cryptocurrency market is expressing threats.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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The Markets
Stocks closed generally lower on Monday amidst a spike in the US dollar and interest rates following Friday’s hotter than expected read of employment in the US and recent comments from Fed Chair Jerome Powell who poured cold water on the prospect of an imminent cut in the cost of borrowing. The S&P 500 Index ended down by around a third of one percent, trading within the range of Friday’s upside candlestick. Short-term support remains well defined around the rising 20-day moving average (4843) as the pull towards the psychologically important 5000 level continues. Momentum indicators remain above their middle lines and major moving averages are trending higher above one another, both characteristics of a bullish trend. Seasonal tendencies call for strength through the first half of February followed by weakness through the back half, amounting to a lacklustre month, overall, for stocks ahead of the next ramp higher in the market through March and April. The positive intermediate view of the benchmark, aligning with the timeframe of our seasonal bias, continues to leave us with little to do in portfolios while we wait for the next significant shift in direction.
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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
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