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Equity Clock - Market Outlook for June 7, 2024

Watch the reaction of the US Dollar Index following the release of May’s payroll results given that the positive tilt of the currency has recently been acting as a headwind against stocks.

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities.   As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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Target Corp. (NYSE:TGT) Seasonal Chart

Target Corp. (NYSE:TGT) Seasonal Chart

Verizon Communications (NYSE:VZ) Seasonal Chart

Verizon Communications (NYSE:VZ) Seasonal Chart

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA (NYSE:EBR) Seasonal Chart

Centrais Eletricas Brasileiras SA (NYSE:EBR) Seasonal Chart

Murphy USA Inc. (NYSE:MUSA) Seasonal Chart

Murphy USA Inc. (NYSE:MUSA) Seasonal Chart

Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (NYSE:EDV) Seasonal Chart

Vanguard Extended Duration Treasury ETF (NYSE:EDV) Seasonal Chart

Global X Nasdaq 100 Covered Call ETF (NASD:QYLD) Seasonal Chart

Global X Nasdaq 100 Covered Call ETF (NASD:QYLD) Seasonal Chart

iShares Evolved U.S. Discretionary Spending ETF (AMEX:IEDI) Seasonal Chart

iShares Evolved U.S. Discretionary Spending ETF (AMEX:IEDI) Seasonal Chart

T2 Metals Corp. (TSXV:TWO.V) Seasonal Chart

T2 Metals Corp. (TSXV:TWO.V) Seasonal Chart

BJ's Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BJ) Seasonal Chart

BJ’s Wholesale Club Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:BJ) Seasonal Chart

Bristol Gate Concentrated US Equity ETF (TSE:BGU.TO) Seasonal Chart

Bristol Gate Concentrated US Equity ETF (TSE:BGU.TO) Seasonal Chart

Dynamic iShares Active U.S. Dividend (TSE:DXU.TO) Seasonal Chart

Dynamic iShares Active U.S. Dividend (TSE:DXU.TO) Seasonal Chart

Dynamic iShares Active Global Dividend ETF (TSE:DXG.TO) Seasonal Chart

Dynamic iShares Active Global Dividend ETF (TSE:DXG.TO) Seasonal Chart

Xcel Energy (NASD:XEL) Seasonal Chart

Xcel Energy (NASD:XEL) Seasonal Chart

iShares Global Comm Services ETF (NYSE:IXP) Seasonal Chart

iShares Global Comm Services ETF (NYSE:IXP) Seasonal Chart

iShares Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF (AMEX:IGLB) Seasonal Chart

iShares Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF (AMEX:IGLB) Seasonal Chart

 

Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio


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The Markets

Stocks closed little changed on Thursday as traders await the always important monthly payroll report that is slated to be released on Friday.  The S&P 500 Index ended lower by a mere two basis points (0.02%), remaining pinned to record-high territory.  The benchmark continues find support at the 50-day moving average (5188), forcing traders to move up their stops from the more intermediate-term support at the 100-day moving average (5107).  MACD has abruptly crossed back above its signal line (a buy signal), but the divergence versus price that this momentum indicator is showing highlights the lack of buying demand around these heights.  Beyond the first few days of June, seasonal tendencies for stocks tends to flip negative for the mean-reversion/portfolio rebalance period that dominates through the middle/end of the month, making this period ahead an inopportune time to be aggressive in risk (stocks).  Traders can look to use weakness through the weeks ahead to add back risk for the summer rally period that follows through the month of July.



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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

Graham Corporation Seasonal Chart Cheetah Mobile Inc. Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

 

TSE Composite

 

Disclaimer: Comments and opinions offered in this report are for information only. They should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. Data offered is believed to be accurate, but is not guaranteed.

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