End-of-summer seasonal positivity in a position to support stocks surrounding the last long weekend of summer.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio
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*** Note: In our email to subscribers, we erroneously titled the report as "September" as opposed to "August" (we obviously have Fall on the mind with the cold weather we are experiencing in this part of the world). The title has been corrected to reflect the current date for the online report. ***
The Markets
Stocks closed solidly higher to start the week as traders push back into the growth trade that was shaken to its core in the recent volatility spike in the market. The S&P 500 Index closed with a gain of just less than one percent, moving above a point of short-term resistance at the August 1st high of 5566. The all-time high at 5669 is now the hurdle to watch as we get into the end of summer and the next short-term seasonal uptick during the broader off-season for stocks with the Labor day holiday. Through the next month, until the 19th of September, the S&P 500 Index has averaged a gain of 1.6% over the past two decades with 14 of the past 20 periods ending higher. The positivity that surrounds the last long weekend of summer can make it difficult to hold the benchmark down, but this short-term reprieve in broader weakness that dominates the third quarter (beyond the summer rally timeframe) is still within the confines of the period of volatility for stocks. The degradation in economic fundamentals in recent months continues to pose the threat of higher than average volatility through this timeframe and the desire is to continue to lean on the side of caution in risk assets so long as the macro economic backdrop expresses uncertainty.
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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:
S&P 500 Index
TSE Composite
