Post-election year tendencies suggest that we could see a stronger than average appreciation in the US Dollar early in 2025, threatening to pressure risk assets in January and February.
*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.
Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:
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Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio
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The Markets
Stocks continued to drift lower into the Tuesday session as end-of-year portfolio transactions are conducted before the distractions surrounding the holidays begin. The S&P 500 Index shed three-tenths of one percent, pulling back from the record closing high charted on Friday. Support is being encroached upon at the 20-day moving average (5995). The benchmark has now moved below the gap that was charted last week between 6051 and 6065 and focus is now appropriate on levels surrounding the psychologically important 6000 level. While not definitive that the short-term trajectory of the benchmark has shifted (unlikely ahead of the Santa Claus rally period), the benchmark is moving below rising trendline support that stems from the November 19th low. On a intermediate-term basis, there remains greater evidence of support than resistance, presenting the desired backdrop for strength that is normally realized in the market at year-end. Major moving averages are all pointed higher and momentum indicators continue to gyrate above their middle lines, providing characteristics of a bullish trend. Our list of candidates in the market to Accumulate and to Avoid remains well positioned to benefit from the strength that is filtering into the market at this seasonally strong time of year, but we will scrutinize whether any changes are required as the price action evolves.


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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

S&P 500 Index

TSE Composite

