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Equity Clock - Market Outlook for May 1, 2025

While the start of the off-season for stocks gets underway in May, the S&P 500 Index has still averaged a gain of 0.8% during this fifth month of the year over the past five decades.

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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Hon Industries, Inc. (NYSE:HNI) Seasonal Chart

Hon Industries, Inc. (NYSE:HNI) Seasonal Chart

Ameresco Inc. (NYSE:AMRC) Seasonal Chart

Ameresco Inc. (NYSE:AMRC) Seasonal Chart

Regional Management Corp. (NYSE:RM) Seasonal Chart

Regional Management Corp. (NYSE:RM) Seasonal Chart

Ooma, Inc. (NYSE:OOMA) Seasonal Chart

Ooma, Inc. (NYSE:OOMA) Seasonal Chart

Hut 8 Mining Corp. (NASD:HUT) Seasonal Chart

Hut 8 Mining Corp. (NASD:HUT) Seasonal Chart

iShares Self-Driving EV and Tech ETF (AMEX:IDRV) Seasonal Chart

iShares Self-Driving EV and Tech ETF (AMEX:IDRV) Seasonal Chart

 

Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio


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The Markets

Stocks shook off earlier losses attributed to a weak read of US GDP on Wednesday to close fairly mixed in the final trading session of April.  The S&P 500 Index added just over a tenth of one percent, continuing to progress above the declining 20-day moving average (5356) and staying afloat above resistance at 5500.  There remains an implied cap over this market in the range between 5500 and 5800 that would likely require a catalyst to break (eg. progress towards a trade deal with China); without one, look for the sellers to step in around this zone.  Initial reaction to resistance around the declining 50-day moving average (5602) was picked up early on Wednesday, causing an intraday move below the lows of the prior session and suggesting some hesitation among investors around this zone.  The daily MACD histogram has started to stall and buying demand from this bear-market rally can be suggested to be waning.  This is enticing us to start legging out of equity allocations heading into the offseason for stocks that begins in May as we brace for the next evolution of the intermediate-term trend in the equity market that is leaning negative.   We continue to monitor the potential impact of the rotation in the market on our list of candidates in the market to Accumulate and to Avoid, but we have found rotation/buying candidates in recent weeks amidst this market tumult.



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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

Apple Seasonal Chart Amazon.com Seasonal Chart Roku Seasonal Chart CVS Health Seasonal Chart Mastercard Seasonal Chart Twilio Seasonal Chart McDonald's Seasonal Chart The Southern Company Seasonal Chart Dominion Energy Seasonal Chart Amgen Seasonal Chart Eli Lilly Seasonal Chart United States Steel Seasonal Chart Iron Mountain Seasonal Chart Sirius XM Seasonal Chart Biogen Seasonal Chart Allison Transmission Holdings Seasonal Chart Huntsman Seasonal Chart Cardinal Health Seasonal Chart EOG Resources Seasonal Chart Ameren Seasonal Chart Gran Tierra Energy Seasonal Chart TC Energy Seasonal Chart Universal Display Seasonal Chart Intercontinental Exchange Seasonal Chart Becton, Dickinson and Company Seasonal Chart Huntington Ingalls Industries Seasonal Chart Church & Dwight Co. Seasonal Chart Kimco Realty Seasonal Chart ParkerHannifin Seasonal Chart Apple Hospitality REIT Seasonal Chart Consolidated Edison Seasonal Chart Trinity Industries Seasonal Chart American International Group Seasonal Chart Air Products and Chemicals Seasonal Chart Xerox Seasonal Chart MasTec Seasonal Chart The Estee Lauder Companies Seasonal Chart Stryker Seasonal Chart Wayfair Seasonal Chart Exact Sciences Seasonal Chart KELLANOVA Seasonal Chart Cameco Seasonal Chart IDEXX Laboratories Seasonal Chart Baxter International Seasonal Chart HarleyDavidson Seasonal Chart Ingersoll Rand Seasonal Chart Hershey Seasonal Chart Canadian National Railway Seasonal Chart Mohawk Industries Seasonal Chart GoDaddy Seasonal Chart Moderna Seasonal Chart Eldorado Gold Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

 

TSE Composite

 

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