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Equity Clock - Market Outlook for May 12, 2025

Sentiment has corrected the bearish excesses that made it ideal to push back on (buy into) earlier in April, leaving the market in a less stable position that it has been in over the past month.

*** Stocks highlighted are for information purposes only and should not be considered as advice to purchase or to sell mentioned securities. As always, the use of technical and fundamental analysis is encouraged in order to fine tune entry and exit points to average seasonal trends.

Stocks Entering Period of Seasonal Strength Today:

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ProShares Pet Care ETF (AMEX:PAWZ) Seasonal Chart

ProShares Pet Care ETF (AMEX:PAWZ) Seasonal Chart

Teladoc Health, Inc. (NYSE:TDOC) Seasonal Chart

Teladoc Health, Inc. (NYSE:TDOC) Seasonal Chart

Trade Desk Inc. (NASD:TTD) Seasonal Chart

Trade Desk Inc. (NASD:TTD) Seasonal Chart

Shopify Inc. (TSE:SHOP.TO) Seasonal Chart

Shopify Inc. (TSE:SHOP.TO) Seasonal Chart

Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF (AMEX:SPMO) Seasonal Chart

Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF (AMEX:SPMO) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P Software & Services ETF (NYSE:XSW) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P Software & Services ETF (NYSE:XSW) Seasonal Chart

Amplify Global Cloud Technology ETF (AMEX:AIVC) Seasonal Chart

Amplify Global Cloud Technology ETF (AMEX:AIVC) Seasonal Chart

Douglas Dynamics Inc. (NYSE:PLOW) Seasonal Chart

Douglas Dynamics Inc. (NYSE:PLOW) Seasonal Chart

iShares India Index ETF (TSE:XID.TO) Seasonal Chart

iShares India Index ETF (TSE:XID.TO) Seasonal Chart

ARK Innovation ETF (AMEX:ARKK) Seasonal Chart

ARK Innovation ETF (AMEX:ARKK) Seasonal Chart

iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (NASD:IBB) Seasonal Chart

iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (NASD:IBB) Seasonal Chart

iShares Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF (AMEX:IGLB) Seasonal Chart

iShares Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF (AMEX:IGLB) Seasonal Chart

Renaissance IPO ETF (AMEX:IPO) Seasonal Chart

Renaissance IPO ETF (AMEX:IPO) Seasonal Chart

Intuit, Inc. (NASD:INTU) Seasonal Chart

Intuit, Inc. (NASD:INTU) Seasonal Chart

Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (NYSE:MGK) Seasonal Chart

Vanguard Mega Cap Growth ETF (NYSE:MGK) Seasonal Chart

Invesco QQQ Trust (NASD:QQQ) Seasonal Chart

Invesco QQQ Trust (NASD:QQQ) Seasonal Chart

Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASD:VCLT) Seasonal Chart

Vanguard Long-Term Corporate Bond ETF (NASD:VCLT) Seasonal Chart

Fiverr International Ltd. (NYSE:FVRR) Seasonal Chart

Fiverr International Ltd. (NYSE:FVRR) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P Telecom ETF (NYSE:XTL) Seasonal Chart

SPDR S&P Telecom ETF (NYSE:XTL) Seasonal Chart

Sunrun Inc. (NASD:RUN) Seasonal Chart

Sunrun Inc. (NASD:RUN) Seasonal Chart

 

Super Simple Seasonal Portfolio


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The Markets

Stocks drifted around the flatline on Friday as investors braced for any news that may come out over the weekend when trade representatives between the US and China meet in Switzerland.  The S&P 500 Index shed just less than a tenth of one percent, continuing to show reaction to a point of horizontal resistance at 5650.  The 200-day moving average remains overhead and the consecutive doji indecision candlesticks charted during the past two sessions hints that traders are paying attention to the hurdle.  There remains an implied cap over this market in the range between 5500 and 5800, corresponding with the span of the cloud of major moving averages that was broken in March, that would likely require a catalyst to break (eg. progress towards a trade deal with China); without one, look for the sellers to step in around this zone.  We were enticed to use the strength through the start of May to start legging out of equity allocations heading into the offseason for stocks that begins at this time of year as we brace for the next evolution of the intermediate-term trend in the market that is still leaning negative.   We continue to monitor the potential impact of the rotation in the market on our list of candidates in the market to Accumulate and to Avoid, but we have found rotation/buying candidates in recent weeks amidst this market tumult.



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Seasonal charts of companies reporting earnings today:

Editas Medicine Seasonal Chart GoPro Seasonal Chart 3D Systems Seasonal Chart Sangamo Therapeutics Seasonal Chart Simon Property Group Seasonal Chart NRG Energy Seasonal Chart Agenus Seasonal Chart DaVita Seasonal Chart Chegg Seasonal Chart Arrowhead Pharmaceuticals Seasonal Chart Fox Seasonal Chart Sally Beauty Seasonal Chart Stellus Capital Investment Seasonal Chart Aurinia Pharmaceuticals Seasonal Chart Acadia Healthcare Seasonal Chart Seadrill Limited Seasonal Chart Rapid7 Seasonal Chart Southwest Gas Seasonal Chart FibroGen Seasonal Chart Fox Seasonal Chart Consolidated Water Seasonal Chart HudBay Minerals Seasonal Chart Gladstone Land Seasonal Chart PennantPark Floating Rate Capital Seasonal Chart Companhia de saneamento Basico Do... Seasonal Chart Essential Utilities Seasonal Chart NuScale Power Seasonal Chart Archer Aviation Seasonal Chart RadNet Seasonal Chart Brink's Seasonal Chart The Macerich Company Seasonal Chart ZoomInfo Technologies Seasonal Chart Surgery Partners Seasonal Chart Power Integrations Seasonal Chart Atlanta Braves Holdings, Inc. Seasonal Chart Xenon Pharmaceuticals Seasonal Chart

 

S&P 500 Index

 

TSE Composite

 

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