Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

UPS Relative to the S&P 500

UPS Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the United Parcel Service, Inc. (NYSE:UPS) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of July 13 and a Sell Date of November 29 has resulted in a geometric average return of 2.78% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 20 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 14 of those periods. This is a good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 20 years by an average of 7.55% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Industrials sector, which runs from October 29 to May 10. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Industrials Sector Seasonal Chart.

As the world’s largest parcel delivery company, UPS manages a massive fleet of more than 500 planes and 100,000 vehicles, along with many hundreds of sorting facilities, to deliver an average of about 22 million packages per day to residences and businesses across the globe. UPS’ domestic US package operations generate around 64% of total revenue while international package makes up 20%. Air and ocean freight forwarding, truckload brokerage, and contract logistics make up the remainder. UPS is currently pursuing “strategic alternatives” for its truck brokerage unit, Coyote, which it acquired in 2015.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: UPS