Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

SOUHY Relative to the S&P 500

SOUHY Relative to the Sector

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the South32 Ltd. (OTCMKT:SOUHY) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of August 27 and a Sell Date of November 29 has resulted in a geometric average return of 9.53% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 9 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 8 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 9 years by an average of 1.67% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Materials sector, which runs from November 20 to May 5. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Materials Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 9 years of data is available for shares of SOUHY, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

South32 was born of the demerger of noncore assets from BHP in 2015. Its major operations include alumina businesses in Australia and Brazil, aluminum in Brazil, South Africa, and Mozambique, and manganese businesses in Australia and South Africa. It sold New South Wales metallurgical coal in August 2024. It also owns the Cannington silver/lead/zinc mine in northwest Queensland and the Cerro Matoso nickel mine in Colombia. Cannington and manganese operations deliver high returns, but have relatively short reserve life. The company acquired Arizona Mining, which brings with it the high-grade and likely low-cost Taylor project in the US, and also entered the copper business in 2022 via the purchase of a 45% stake in the Sierra Gorda mine in Chile.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: SOUHY