Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

TPB Relative to the S&P 500

TPB Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Turning Point Brands, Inc. (NYSE:TPB) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of February 22 and a Sell Date of July 20 has resulted in a geometric average return of 14.64% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 9 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 8 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 9 years by an average of 3.23% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Staples sector, which runs from April 25 to November 23. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Staples Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 9 years of data is available for shares of TPB, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Turning Point Brands, Inc. engages in manufacturing, marketing, and distributing branded consumer products including alternative smoking accessories and consumables with active ingredients. It operates through the following segments: Zig-Zag Products, Stoker’s Products, and Creative Distribution Solutions. The Zig-Zag Products segment markets and distributes rolling papers, tubes, finished cigars, and MYO cigar wraps. The Stoker’s Products segment manufactures and markets moist snuff and contracts for and markets loose leaf chewing tobacco products. The Creative Distribution Solutions segment markets and distributes liquid nicotine products and other products without tobacco or nicotine, distributes to non-traditional retail outlets via Vapor Beast, and offers products to individual consumers via the VaporFi B2C online platform. The company was founded by Thomas Helms, Jr. in 1988 and is headquartered in Louisville, KY.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: TPB