Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

PM Relative to the S&P 500

PM Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Philip Morris Intl Inc. (NYSE:PM) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of November 30 and a Sell Date of March 10 has resulted in a geometric average return of 3.27% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 18 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 14 of those periods. This is a good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 18 years by an average of 2.85% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Staples sector, which runs from April 25 to November 23. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Staples Sector Seasonal Chart.

Created from the international operations of Altria in 2008, Philip Morris International sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, including heatsticks, vapes, and oral nicotine offerings primarily outside of the US. With the 2022 acquisition of Swedish Match, a leading manufacturer of traditional oral tobacco products and nicotine pouches primarily in the US and Scandinavia, PMI has not only diversified away from smokeable products but also gained a toehold into the US to sell its iQOS heatsticks.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: PM