Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

FCX Relative to the S&P 500

FCX Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Freeport-McMoRan, Inc. (NYSE:FCX) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of October 4 and a Sell Date of February 27 has resulted in a geometric average return of 3.71% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 20 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 14 of those periods. This is a good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 20 years by an average of 7.24% per year.

The seasonal timeframe is Inline with the period of seasonal strength for the Materials sector, which runs from November 20 to May 5. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Materials Sector Seasonal Chart.

Freeport-McMoRan owns stakes in 10 copper mines, led by its 49% ownership of the Grasberg copper and gold operations in Indonesia, 55% of the Cerro Verde mine in Peru, and 72% of Morenci in Arizona. It sold around 1.2 million metric tons of copper (its share) in 2023, making it the one of the world’s largest copper miners by volume. It also sold about 900,000 ounces of gold, mostly from Grasberg, and 70 million pounds of molybdenum. About 75% of 2023 revenue was from copper, with a further 15% from gold and about 10% from molybdenum. It had about 25 years of copper reserves at end December 2023. we expect it to sell similar amounts of copper midcycle in 2028, though we expect gold volumes to decline to about 700,000 ounces then due to falling production at Grasberg.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: FCX