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Avita Medical Ltd. (NASD:RCEL) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Avita Medical Ltd. (NASD:RCEL) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of November 27 and a Sell Date of February 20 has resulted in a geometric average return of 9.44% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 9 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 7 of those periods. This is a good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 9 years by an average of 23.83% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Healthcare sector, which runs from April 25 to December 4. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Healthcare Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 9 years of data is available for shares of RCEL, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Avita is a single product company. Its RECELL system is an innovative burn treatment device which creates Spray-on Skin from a small skin sample within 30 minutes, thus avoiding or reducing the need for skin grafts. It’s approved for the treatment of adult patients in the U.S. with paediatric clinical trials and expanded indications in soft-tissue reconstruction and vitiligo underway. It is currently in roll-out across the approximately 136 U.S. burn centres. Despite having product approval in Australia, Europe, Canada, and China, Avita is not actively marketing in those territories and focussing instead on the U.S. region. However, it is expected to gain approval and launch in Japan via distribution partner Cosmotec shortly. Avita is domiciled, and has its primary listing, in the U.S.

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