Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

BRSP Relative to the S&P 500

BRSP Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the BrightSpire Capital, Inc. (NYSE:BRSP) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of April 16 and a Sell Date of July 23 has resulted in a geometric average return of 14.4% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 6 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 6 of those periods. This is an excellent rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 6 years by an average of 35.71% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Financial sector, which runs from November 22 to April 13. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Financial Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 6 years of data is available for shares of BRSP, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

BrightSpire Capital Inc is an internally-managed commercial real estate credit REIT focused on originating, acquiring, financing and managing a diversified portfolio of commercial real estate debt and net lease real estate investments predominantly in the United States. CRE debt investments consist of first mortgage loans with the objective of generating consistent risk-adjusted returns. The operating segments of the company are Senior and Mezzanine Loans and Preferred Equity, Net Leased and Other Real Estate, Corporate and Other. Geographically, the company generates revenue from the United States.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: BRSP