Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

BTI Relative to the S&P 500

BTI Relative to the Sector

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the British American Tobacco PLC (NYSE:BTI) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of December 5 and a Sell Date of March 31 has resulted in a geometric average return of 5.32% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 20 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 17 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 20 years by an average of 2.68% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Staples sector, which runs from April 25 to November 23. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Staples Sector Seasonal Chart.

Following the acquisition of Reynolds American, British American Tobacco is neck-and-neck with Philip Morris International to be the largest listed global tobacco company–slightly larger than PMI on net revenue, but slightly smaller on total tobacco volume. British American’s Global Drive Brands are Dunhill, Kent, Pall Mall, Lucky Strike, and Rothmans, and it also owns Newport and Camel in the U.S. The firm also sells vapor e-cigarettes, including its Vype brand, heated tobacco, with Glo, as well as roll- your-own and smokeless tobacco products. The company holds 31% of ITC Limited, the leading Indian cigarette-maker.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: BTI