Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

BF-B Relative to the S&P 500

BF-B Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Brown-Forman Corp. – Class B (NYSE:BF/B) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of January 13 and a Sell Date of June 11 has resulted in a geometric average return of 5.8% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 20 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 17 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 20 years by an average of 1.39% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Staples sector, which runs from April 25 to November 23. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Staples Sector Seasonal Chart.

Brown-Forman is the largest U.S.-domiciled producer of distilled spirits. The firm reports only a single operating segment, and whiskey represents its primary business driver, generating roughly three quarters of sales, undergirded by the Jack Daniel’s brand as well as bourbons such as Woodford Reserve and Old Forrester. Notable nonwhiskey offerings include tequilas such as el Jimador and Herradura. The firm operates globally, with products sold in more than 170 countries, and adapts its route-to-consumer model depending on regulation as well as the prevailing competitive dynamics in a given market. For example, it sells through distributors in the U.S. but operates its own logistics apparatus in many other countries. The company remains under the control of the Brown family.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: BF-B