Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

CAT Relative to the S&P 500

CAT Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Caterpillar, Inc. (NYSE:CAT) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of October 28 and a Sell Date of February 9 has resulted in a geometric average return of 4.31% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 20 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 17 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 20 years by an average of 1.39% per year.

The seasonal timeframe is Inline with the period of seasonal strength for the Industrials sector, which runs from October 29 to May 10. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Industrials Sector Seasonal Chart.

Caterpillar is the world’s leading manufacturer of construction and mining equipment, off-highway diesel and natural gas engines, industrial gas turbines and diesel-electric locomotives. Its reporting segments are: construction industries (40% sales/47% operating profit, or OP), resource industries (20% sales/19% OP), and energy & transportation (40% sales/34% OP). Market share approaches 20% across many products. Caterpillar operates a captive finance subsidiary to facilitate sales. The firm has global reach (46% US sales/54% ex-US). Construction skews more domestic, while the other divisions are more geographically diversified. An independent network of 156 dealers operates approximately 2,800 facilities, giving Caterpillar reach into about 190 countries for sales and support services.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: CAT