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China Merchants Bank Ltd. (OTCMKT:CIHKY) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the China Merchants Bank Ltd. (OTCMKT:CIHKY) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of September 30 and a Sell Date of December 29 has resulted in a geometric average return of 8.2% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 9 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 7 of those periods. This is a good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 9 years by an average of 9.21% per year.

The seasonal timeframe is Inline with the period of seasonal strength for the Financial sector, which runs from November 22 to April 13. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Financial Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 9 years of data is available for shares of CIHKY, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Founded in 1987, China Merchants Bank is China’s sixth- largest listed bank by assets, with the largest distribution network among China’s joint-stock banks. CMB’s network is expanding rapidly. Its outlets are located mainly in China’s more developed areas, such as the Pearl River and Yangtze River deltas. The firm has 18% and 82% of its shares listed on the Hong Kong and Shanghai exchanges, respectively. It has no foreign strategic investors. China Merchants Group is its largest shareholder, with a 30% stake. Retail banking, corporate banking and wholesale banking accounted for 53%, 41%, and 6% of total profit before tax, respectively, and 49%, 47%, and 4% of total revenue in 2017.

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