Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

CME Relative to the S&P 500

CME Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the CME Group Inc. (NASD:CME) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of May 11 and a Sell Date of October 6 has resulted in a geometric average return of 7.27% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 20 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 16 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success, but the return underperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 20 years by an average of 1.27% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Financial sector, which runs from November 22 to April 13. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Financial Sector Seasonal Chart.

Based in Chicago, CME Group operates exchanges giving investors, suppliers, and businesses the ability to trade futures and derivatives based on interest rates, equity indexes, foreign currencies, energy, metals, and commodities. The CME was founded in 1898 and in 2002 completed its initial public offering. Since then, CME Group has consolidated parts of the industry by merging with crosstown rival, CBOT Holdings in 2007 before acquiring Nymex Holdings in 2008 and NEX in 2018. In addition, the company has a 27% stake in S&P Dow Jones Indices, making the Chicago Mercantile Exchange the exclusive venue to trade and clear S&P futures contracts. Through CME’s acquisition of NEX in 2018 it has also expanded into cash foreign exchange, fixed income trading, and collateral optimization.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: CME