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Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASD:COST) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Costco Wholesale Corp. (NASD:COST) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of August 25 and a Sell Date of November 17 has resulted in a geometric average return of 5.19% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 20 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 19 of those periods. This is an excellent rate of success, but the return underperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 20 years by an average of 0.5% per year.

The seasonal timeframe is Inline with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Staples sector, which runs from April 25 to November 23. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Staples Sector Seasonal Chart.

The leading warehouse club, Costco has 795 stores worldwide (at the end of fiscal 2020), with most sales derived in the United States (73%) and Canada (13%). It sells memberships that allow customers to shop in its warehouses, which feature low prices on a limited product assortment. Costco mainly caters to individual shoppers, but roughly 20% of paid members carry business memberships. Food and sundries accounted for 42% of fiscal 2020 sales, with hardlines 17%, ancillary businesses (such as fuel and pharmacy) nearly 17%, fresh food 14%, and softlines 10%. Costco’s warehouses average around 146,000 square feet; over 75% of its locations offer fuel. About 6% of Costco’s global sales come from e-commerce (excluding same-day grocery and various other services).

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