Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

COTY Relative to the S&P 500

COTY Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of October 19 and a Sell Date of February 20 has resulted in a geometric average return of 12.32% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 9 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 7 of those periods. This is a good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 9 years by an average of 26.16% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Staples sector, which runs from April 25 to November 23. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Staples Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 9 years of data is available for shares of COTY, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Coty is a global beauty company that sells fragrances (59% of fiscal 2022 revenue), color cosmetics (29%), body care (7%), and skincare (5%). It licenses brands such as Calvin Klein, Hugo Boss, Gucci, Burberry, and Davidoff for its prestige portfolio. Coty’s most popular color cosmetic brands are CoverGirl, Max Factor, Rimmel, Sally Hansen, and Kylie. Coty also holds a minority stake in a salon and retail haircare business, including brands Wella, Clairol, OPI, and GHD. Francois Coty founded the firm in 1904 and it remained private until its 2013 IPO. It had focused on prestige fragrances and nail salon brands until the 2016 acquisition of Procter & Gamble’s beauty business. This nearly doubled the firm’s revenue base, and launched it into mass-channel cosmetics and professional hair care.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: COTY