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Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Coty Inc. (NYSE:COTY) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of February 3 and a Sell Date of April 30 has resulted in a geometric average return of 10.22% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 6 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 5 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 6 years by an average of 23.52% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Staples sector, which runs from April 25 to November 23. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Staples Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 6 years of data is available for shares of COTY, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Coty is a global beauty company that sells fragrances (40% of fiscal 2019 revenue), color cosmetics (26%), hair care (25%), and skin/body care (9%). The firm licenses brands such as Calvin Klein, Hugo Boss, Gucci, and Davidoff for its fragrance portfolio. Coty’s most popular color cosmetic brands are CoverGirl, Max Factor, Rimmel, OPI, and Sally Hansen. In hair care, the firm touts the Wella and Clairol brands. Francois Coty founded the firm in 1904 and it remained private until its 2013 IPO. It had focused on prestige fragrances and nail salon brands until the 2016 acquisition of Procter & Gamble’s beauty care business. This nearly doubled the firm’s revenue base, and launched it into consumer cosmetics and professional hair care.

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