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Dufry AG (OTCMKT:DUFRY) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Dufry AG (OTCMKT:DUFRY) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of September 28 and a Sell Date of December 17 has resulted in a geometric average return of 8.14% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 8 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 5 of those periods. This is a fair rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 8 years by an average of 27.93% per year.

The seasonal timeframe is Inline with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Discretionary sector, which runs from October 17 to April 12. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Discretionary Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 8 years of data is available for shares of DUFRY, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Dufry is the world’s largest duty-free shop operator and leader in travel retail. It commands about 12%-13% share in a fragmented global travel retail market, including around 20% in airport retail (more than double that of the next biggest competitor), through its presence in 65 countries and about 420 locations globally; airports make up 90% of the company’s total revenue. Dufry’s main markets are Europe (45% of revenue), North and Latin America (about 20% revenue each), and Asia, the Middle East, and Australia (about 14% of sales). Perfumes, cosmetics, and food are Dufry’s top-selling categories, accounting for almost half of revenue, with wines and spirits, tobacco goods, watches, and jewellery also being important segments for revenue.

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