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Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

FSUGY Relative to the S&P 500

FSUGY Relative to the Sector

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Fortescue Metals Group Limited (OTCMKT:FSUGY) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of November 30 and a Sell Date of February 18 has resulted in a geometric average return of 12.29% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 15 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 14 of those periods. This is an excellent rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 15 years by an average of 18.55% per year.

The seasonal timeframe is Inline with the period of seasonal strength for the Materials sector, which runs from November 20 to May 5. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Materials Sector Seasonal Chart.

Fortescue is an Australia-based iron ore miner. It has grown from obscurity start of 2008 to become the world’s fourth-largest producer. Growth was fueled by debt, now repaid. Expansion from 55 million metric tons in fiscal 2012 to about 190 million metric tons in 2024 means Fortescue supplies around 10% of global seaborne iron ore. Further expansion above 200 million metric tons is likely once its 22 million metric ton Iron Bridge magnetite mine ramps up, likely in 2026 or 2027. However, with longer-term demand likely to decline as China’s economy matures, Fortescue’s future margins are likely to be below historical averages. More recently, Fortescue diversified into green energy, with ambitions to become a major supplier of green hydrogen and green ammonia. Its efforts are early stage.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: FSUGY