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Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (OTCMKT:GBTC) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (OTCMKT:GBTC) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of February 5 and a Sell Date of June 8 has resulted in a geometric average return of 93.21% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 5 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 5 of those periods. This is an excellent rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 5 years by an average of 5.77% per year.

A word of caution: Only 5 years of data is available for shares of GBTC, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

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