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Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HLT) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Hilton Worldwide Holdings Inc. (NYSE:HLT) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of January 16 and a Sell Date of May 9 has resulted in a geometric average return of 8.04% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 6 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 6 of those periods. This is an excellent rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 6 years by an average of 3.54% per year.

The seasonal timeframe is Inline with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Discretionary sector, which runs from October 17 to April 12. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Discretionary Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 6 years of data is available for shares of HLT, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Hilton Worldwide Holdings operates 955,000 rooms across 17 brands addressing the midscale through luxury segments. Hampton and Hilton are the two largest brands by total room count at 24% and 27%, respectively, as of the end of 2018. Home2, Curio, Canopy, and Tru represent midsingle digits of existing rooms but a larger percentage of the pipeline room base. Managed and franchised represent the vast majority of adjusted EBITDA, predominately from the Americas regions.

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