Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

IBM Relative to the S&P 500

IBM Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the International Business Machines (NYSE:IBM) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of July 1 and a Sell Date of October 15 has resulted in a geometric average return of 2% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 20 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 15 of those periods. This is a good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 20 years by an average of 5.56% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Technology sector, which runs from October 9 to February 15. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Technology Sector Seasonal Chart.

IBM looks to be a part of every aspect of an enterprise’s IT needs. The company primarily sells infrastructure services (37% of revenue), software (29% of revenue), IT services (23% of revenue) and hardware (8% of revenues). IBM operates in 175 countries and employs approximately 350,000 people. The company has a robust roster of 80,000 business partners to service 5,200 clients–which includes 95% of all Fortune 500. While IBM is a B2B company, IBM’s outward impact is substantial. For example, IBM manages 90% of all credit card transactions globally and is responsible for 50% of all wireless connections in the world.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: IBM