Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

IQ Relative to the S&P 500

IQ Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the iQIYI Inc. (NASD:IQ) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of December 16 and a Sell Date of March 7 has resulted in a geometric average return of 22.3% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 6 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 5 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 6 years by an average of 61.3% per year.

The seasonal timeframe is Inline with the period of seasonal strength for the Industrials sector, which runs from October 29 to May 10. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Industrials Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 6 years of data is available for shares of IQ, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Iqiyi is a leading streaming video-on-demand company in China that generates revenue through a mostly subscription basis and has about 100 million paying subscribers and 500 million monthly average users on its platform. The platform also provides user-generated content in long-form videos free of charge to nonpaying users, monetized through video-brand ads and performance-based ads. The company self-produces much of the subscription content and also generates revenue through content distribution, gaming, and IP licensing. Iqiyi competes in a crowded industry with Tencent Video, Alibaba’s Youku, ByteDance’s MangoTV, and Tencent-backed Bilibili. The company is 45.5% and 5.1% owned by Baidu and Xiaomi, respectively. Baidu also held 89.3% of the voting power as of end-February 2023.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: IQ