Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

JAPAY Relative to the S&P 500

JAPAY Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Japan Tobacco, Inc. (OTCMKT:JAPAY) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of February 15 and a Sell Date of May 18 has resulted in a geometric average return of 4.29% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 10 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 8 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 10 years by an average of 11.35% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Staples sector, which runs from April 25 to November 23. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Staples Sector Seasonal Chart.

Japan Tobacco primarily sells cigarettes and reduced-risk products, organized in three clusters consisting of Asia (which includes its home market and countries in Asia Pacific), Western Europe, and EMA (which includes Eastern Europe, the Middle East North Africa, Turkey, Americas, and duty-free). Its leading cigarette brands include Winston (non-US), Camel (non-US), Mevius, and LD. Its reduced-risk brands include Logic in vaping and Ploom in heated tobacco, though this category generates less than 5% of tobacco sales.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: JAPAY