Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

LW Relative to the S&P 500

LW Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:LW) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of September 9 and a Sell Date of January 7 has resulted in a geometric average return of 14.44% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 7 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 7 of those periods. This is an excellent rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 7 years by an average of 19.79% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Staples sector, which runs from April 25 to November 23. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Staples Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 7 years of data is available for shares of LW, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Lamb Weston is North America’s largest and the world’s second-largest producer of branded and private-label frozen potato products, both by volume and value. The company’s portfolio is anchored by French fries, but it also sells sweet potato fries, tater tots, diced potatoes, mashed potatoes, hash browns, and chips. Roughly two-thirds of revenue comes from its home market of North America, with none of the other 100 countries the company sells into representing a significant share. McDonald’s is Lamb Weston’s single largest customer at 14% of fiscal 2024 sales, with no other company representing more than 10%. Lamb Weston became an independent company in 2016 when it was spun off from Conagra.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: LW