Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

MBGYY Relative to the S&P 500

MBGYY Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Mercedes Benz Group AG (OTCMKT:MBGYY) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of September 4 and a Sell Date of January 10 has resulted in a geometric average return of 6.37% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 7 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 5 of those periods. This is a good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 7 years by an average of 20.3% per year.

The seasonal timeframe is Inline with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Discretionary sector, which runs from October 17 to April 12. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Discretionary Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 7 years of data is available for shares of MBGYY, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Mercedes-Benz Group is a premium automotive original equipment manufacturer, selling around 2 million passenger cars, including its Chinese joint venture, and just under 450,000 vans per year. The company’s financial profile improved significantly following the spinoff of Daimler Truck in 2021. Unlike most automotive OEMs, Mercedes operates under its own brand alone. In 2023, 16% of its passenger cars sold were top end (G Class, Maybach, AMG, S Class), 54% were core (C and E Class), and 30% entry (A and B Class). In volume terms, Asia is Mercedes’ largest market at 40% of 2023 vehicle sales followed by Europe at 38% and North America at 17%.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: MBGYY