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Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Phillips 66 (NYSE:PSX) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of July 20 and a Sell Date of October 18 has resulted in a geometric average return of 5.26% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 9 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 8 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return slightly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 9 years by an average of 0.47% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Energy sector, which runs from January 21 to May 9. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Energy Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 9 years of data is available for shares of PSX, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Phillips 66 is an independent refiner with 13 refineries that have a total throughput capacity of 2.1 million barrels per day. Its DCP Midstream joint venture holds 61 natural gas processing facilities, 12 natural gas liquids fractionation plants, and a natural gas pipeline system with 64,000 miles of pipeline. Its CPChem chemical joint venture operates facilities in the United States and the Middle East and primarily produces olefins and polyolefins. Phillips 66 also holds a 75% interest in Phillips 66 Partners after exchanging its GP IDR interest for LP units.

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