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Post Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:POST) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Post Holdings, Inc. (NYSE:POST) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of December 16 and a Sell Date of March 7 has resulted in a geometric average return of 7.31% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 8 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 8 of those periods. This is an excellent rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 8 years by an average of 8.07% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Staples sector, which runs from April 25 to November 23. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Staples Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 8 years of data is available for shares of POST, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Post Holdings is a packaged food company that primarily operates in North America and Europe. For fiscal 2019, 40% of the company’s revenue was composed of cereal, with brands such as Honeycomb, Grape-Nuts, Shredded Wheat, Pebbles, Honey Bunches of Oats, and Malt-O-Meal, to name a few. Refrigerated food makes up 45% of revenue, which services both retail (16% of company sales) and food-service channels (29%), providing value-added egg and potato products, prepared side dishes under brands Bob Evans and Simply Potatoes, cheese, and sausage. The stake in BellRing Brands makes up the remaining 15% of revenue, with protein-based shakes, powders, and bars that sell under the Premier Protein, PowerBar, and Dymatize brands.

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