Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

REAL Relative to the S&P 500

REAL Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the RealReal Inc. (NASD:REAL) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of April 15 and a Sell Date of July 8 has resulted in a geometric average return of 76.6% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 13 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 6 of those periods. This is a poor rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 13 years by an average of 29.68% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Discretionary sector, which runs from October 17 to April 12. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Discretionary Sector Seasonal Chart.

The RealReal is the largest pure-play luxury resale platform in the us, generating $1.7 billion in 2023 gross merchandise volume and addressing a niche (personal luxury resale) that had previously been serviced by inefficient upscale boutiques and local pawn shops. The company generates revenue via consignment and first-party sales on its online marketplace, and through a small volume of direct sales. With a hands-on approach that actively sources inventory and authenticates every item on its platform, The RealReal is able to justify much higher take rates than peers, working out to roughly 34% of net merchandise value, which excludes returns, cancellations, and first-party sales.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: REAL