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Restaurant Brands International Inc. (NYSE:QSR) Seasonal Chart

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Restaurant Brands International Inc. (NYSE:QSR) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of March 18 and a Sell Date of August 4 has resulted in a geometric average return of 16.56% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 6 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 6 of those periods. This is an excellent rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 6 years by an average of 18.2% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Consumer Discretionary sector, which runs from October 17 to April 12. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Consumer Discretionary Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 6 years of data is available for shares of QSR, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

The consolidation of Burger King, Tim Hortons, and Popeyes Louisiana Kitchen as Restaurant Brands International represents the third- largest global quick-service restaurant chain, with $34 billion in pro forma system sales generated in 2019 and just over 27,200 units (99% franchised) as of September 2020. Revenue comes largely from franchise royalties and distribution sales to franchisees. As of September, there were 18,700 Burger King locations, more than 4,900 Tim Hortons locations, and almost 3,400 Popeyes locations across the globe.

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