Equity Clock

Arithmetic Average Seasonal Chart

Geometric Average Seasonal Chart

SPOT Relative to the S&P 500

SPOT Relative to the Sector

% of Revenue Generated in Each Quarter

% of Free Cash Flow Generated in Each Quarter

% of Net Income Generated in Each Quarter

Seasonal Chart Analysis

Analysis of the Spotify Technology S.A. (NYSE:SPOT) seasonal charts above shows that a Buy Date of April 28 and a Sell Date of July 23 has resulted in a geometric average return of 14.77% above the benchmark rate of the S&P 500 Total Return Index over the past 6 years. This seasonal timeframe has shown positive results compared to the benchmark in 5 of those periods. This is a very good rate of success and the return strongly outperforms the relative buy-and-hold performance of the stock over the past 6 years by an average of 7.13% per year.

The seasonal timeframe correlates Poorly with the period of seasonal strength for the Industrials sector, which runs from October 29 to May 10. The seasonal chart for the broad sector is available via the following link: Industrials Sector Seasonal Chart.

A word of caution: Only 6 years of data is available for shares of SPOT, perhaps insufficient to create a seasonal profile that accurately gauges the seasonal tendencies influencing the investment. Ideally, while 20 years is preferred, at least 10 years of data is required to perform a seasonal analysis that is considered to be reliable for future seasonal periods.

Spotify is the leading global music streaming service provider, with over 600 million monthly active users and 250 million paying subscribers, with the latter comprising the firm’s premium segment. most of the firm’s revenue and nearly all its gross profit come from the subscribers, who pay a monthly fee to access a very comprehensive music library that consists of most of the most popular songs ever recorded, including all from the major record labels. The firm also sells separate audiobook subscriptions and integrates podcasts within its standard music app. Podcast content is not exclusive and is typically free to access on other platforms. Ad-supported users can access a similar music catalog but cannot customize a similar on-demand experience.

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Stocks mentioned in this post: SPOT